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U.S., Canada Strike Last-Minute Trade Deal, Averting 50% Tariffs

Ethan Brooks
Ethan Brooks •

President Trump paused 50 percent tariffs on Canadian goods hours before they were set to take effect after the U.S. and Canada reached a last-minute trade deal, with negotiators working to finalize documents by Friday.

U.S., Canada Strike Last-Minute Trade Deal, Averting 50% Tariffs

President Donald Trump paused a new round of 50 percent tariffs on Canadian goods for three days just hours before they were set to take effect, announcing that the United States and Canada had reached a preliminary trade agreement. The president made the announcement on Truth Social around 10:30 p.m. Tuesday, roughly 90 minutes before the duties were scheduled to kick in at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed the pause, saying substantial progress had been made while important work remained.

The agreement keeps roughly $20 billion in Canadian imports -- from hockey sticks to honey -- free of new duties, at least for now, and buys time for negotiators to finalize the paperwork. Trump framed the outcome as a win for American farmers and manufacturers, saying the two countries had come to a deal that benefits both sides.

An 11th-Hour Breakthrough

"I have paused the 50% Tariffs against Canada, that were scheduled to kick in tomorrow morning for a three day period, based on the fact that Canada and the U.S.A., subject to the finalization of documents, have a DEAL!" Trump wrote on Truth Social, announcing the pause less than two hours before the midnight deadline.

The announcement followed two phone calls between Trump and Carney over the previous two days, including a conversation Tuesday afternoon, and days of wall-to-wall trade talks in Washington. Carney said in a statement that Canada had agreed to the three-day delay while negotiations continued, describing the talks as delicate and intense.

Speaking to reporters at the White House Wednesday morning, Trump called the agreement "a very fair deal for both" countries and said Canadian tariffs on American agricultural goods would be "totally eviscerated -- down to zero." "Our farmers are going to be thrilled, our manufacturers are going to be thrilled," he said.

What Was on the Line

The threatened duties were imposed under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, a Great Depression-era trade law that had never before been used this way. Unlike other statutes the administration has leaned on, Section 338 does not appear to carry a time limit, meaning the tariffs could have remained in place indefinitely had they taken effect.

The 50 percent rate would have applied to a sprawling list of Canadian products: dairy, wine, whiskey, vodka, hockey equipment, ice skates, cement, honey, whey protein, molasses, tongue depressors, furniture, clothing, plastics, and industrial machinery. In dollar terms, the duties covered roughly $20 billion of the more than $380 billion in goods the United States imports from Canada each year -- about 5 percent of the total.

Notably, the new round carried no exemptions for goods covered under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, meaning even products that qualify for preferential treatment under the North American trade pact would have been hit. The administration did carve out key Canadian exports, including energy, potash, and critical minerals, from the new tariffs.

The Disputes Behind the Deal

The standoff grew out of long-running trade irritants. Washington pressed Canada to dismantle its dairy supply management system, end tariff-free auto quotas, and lift provincial bans on American alcohol imposed in retaliation for earlier U.S. duties. A White House proclamation said Canada had expressed a commitment to resolve those complaints.

Ottawa, for its part, wanted relief on the 25 percent U.S. national security tariffs on automobiles, along with changes to steel, aluminum, and lumber duties that have weighed on Canadian exporters for years. Negotiators discussed cutting the auto tariff to 15 percent, with further reductions tied to how much American content goes into each vehicle, while the administration held firm on steel.

Trump also linked the breakthrough to a familiar project: the Keystone XL pipeline. The long-stalled conduit, designed to carry crude from Alberta to the U.S. Midwest, was revived as part of the trade discussions, though no details were given on how or when the project would move forward. The Office of the United States Trade Representative said the emerging deal includes comprehensive market access for all American goods, economic security commitments, and digital trade alignment.

Both sides claimed gains. Canada's trade minister said the country's dairy supply management system would remain intact, while the White House insisted American farmers would face effectively no tariffs shipping into Canada.

What Happens Next

The clock now runs to the end of the day Friday, August 21. If the documents are not finalized by then, the 50 percent tariffs are scheduled to snap into effect at 12:01 a.m. Saturday. Trade officials from both countries met in Washington Wednesday morning, with U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc leading the final push. LeBlanc was expected back in Ottawa to brief Carney and put finishing touches on Canada's side of the bargain.

Business groups welcomed the reprieve but cautioned that a three-day pause is not a signed agreement. The Canadian Chamber of Commerce said the delay offers relief for companies caught in the crossfire but falls short of the certainty a finalized deal would provide.

For the administration, the agreement is another data point in its push to rebalance trade relationships and force partners to the table. The question now is whether the deal can be finished on paper by Friday -- and whether the hardest issues, including autos and dairy, can survive the final stretch of negotiations.